 I got off to a 2-1 start with the first part of the week 12 picks. I had Detroit, Dallas, and Indy, and I’m an idiot for taking the Lions. Everything was telling me to take the Pack, but I figured with the season hanging in the balance, Detroit would be able to step up at home on Thanksgiving..Nope. The Lions are now a wonderful 5-6 straight up on Turkey Day over the last 11 years.. The loss leaves Matt Millen’s crew at 6-5, bunched up with the Seahawks, Cardinals, Redskins, and Eagles for a playoff spot.. I think we all know how this one ends.
As always, I don’t pick games involving the Philadelphia Eagles, and the home team is in bold type.
New Orleans -3 over Carolina: The Panthers absolutely refuse to cover at home, so there’s no way they cover after chillin for Thanksgiving..Right?
Denver +2 over Chicago: This is a hard game to pick. The Broncos are a tease, will we get the @ Detroit Broncos or the vs. Tennessee Broncos? The Bears have only lost back to back games once this season (vs. Dallas, @ Detroit), but now it’ll be twice.
Cincinnati +1 over Tennessee: I’m making this pick under the belief that the Titans’ defensive players won’t want to redeem themselves after that showing on MNF.. Here’s a hint, look out for Houshmandzadeh.
Cleveland -3.5 over Houston: The Browns in a shoot-out.
Jacksonville -7.5 over Buffalo: The good news for Buffalo is their 5-5 record and 2nd place standing in the AFC East. The bad news is their remaining schedule. After this loss to the Jags, Buffalo has @ Washington, Miami, @ Cleveland, NY Giants, and @ Philly. Those games, combined with a mini qb controversy, add up to 6 or 7 wins.
Kansas City -5 over Oakland: No Larry Johnson, no Priest Holmes… The Raiders can expect an extra helping of Gonzalez and Bowe.
NYG -7.5 over Minnesota: I don’t care who says Adrian Peterson is clear to play, I would rest him. His overall importance to the future of the franchise is bigger than a longshot playoff run.. In a related story, the Giants will pass the ball all over the Vikings.
Seattle -3 over St. Louis: The Rams have looked like a half decent team now that they’ve gotten half of their team back from injury. It doesn’t matter this Sunday but I’ll admit, it would be cool to see the Rams go 0-8 and then 8-0.
Tampa Bay -3 over Washington: How much money is Daniel Snyder gonna throw at it this off season?
Arizona -10 over San Francisco: The Cardinals are gonna finish 9-7, 10-6 with a little luck. The Niners are garbage.
San Diego -9 over Baltimore: It’s crazy that the oddsmakers can make the Chargers 9 point favorites over anybody after watching Philip Rivers play. It’s even crazier that I think you should lay the nine. The Ravens are a mess, and even San Diego should be able to beat them by 10.
Pittsburgh -16 over Miami: The Jets and Dolphins in back to back weeks.. That was a blessing for the Steelers..on paper. Last week’s loss to the NYJ means that John Beck can expect the Steel Curtain to be in effect. Joey Porter returns to Pittsburgh to show the fans that the team was right in letting him go.
Tags: NFL, Football, Week 12 Picks, Free Picks
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